Cook and Zook Team
Ten Questions on the Volatile Housing Market
Written by James R. Hagerty   

Lower prices have spurred home sales, but looming foreclosures and high unemployment are clouding the outlook


The U.S. housing market has been in a slump for the past four years. When will it ever end?


In recent years, real estate has proven as jittery and unreliable as any other market. The average U.S. home price nearly doubled between January 2000 and April 2006, according to the First American LoanPerformance index. Since then, the average has fallen about 30%. The drop has been 53% in the Las Vegas metropolitan area and 39% in Miami, where about a quarter of all households with mortgages are behind on their payments or in foreclosure. The value of your home might be determined more by whether the neighbors keep their jobs than whether the house has ample light and closet space.


Here is a guide to navigating a fractured and volatile market:


1. Is the housing market getting better?


It has shown some signs of healing this year, but the much-touted recovery is tentative and fragile.


Home sales have increased from the severely depressed levels of 2008. The inventory of unsold homes listed for sale also is down. Bidding wars are breaking out for foreclosed homes in the sorts of neighborhoods (near jobs and decent schools) that attract both first-time buyers and investors seeking rental properties.


But more than 6.7 million U.S. households with mortgages, or about 13%, are behind on their payments or are in the foreclosure process, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Eventually, many of them will lose those homes, sending more supply onto the market. Unemployment has continued to rise, and the housing market is unlikely to show a sustained recovery until job growth resumes.


While the supply of middle-class homes on the market has declined somewhat, it remains ample in most places. And there is a huge glut of high-end houses for sale in many areas. That means prices of high-end homes might still have a long way to fall.


To continue reading this article, visit Yahoo! Finance.

 
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Referral Partners

Bank of America, Thad Wise, 703.350.1733


Prosperity Mortgage, Carter Scott, 703.725.9041


Signature and Stewart Settlements, David Cook, 703.709.0600


HB Services, Harry Hink, 703.764.0498


Smile Great Falls, Shane Costa, 703.757.0833


Offerwise, Andrew Lissak, 1.800.280.4947


Thadson Flooring, Tom & Evie Spiewak, 703.817.0382


Cindy Zook Associates, Cindy Zook, 703.281.1723


Paulson & Paulson P.L.C., Matthew Paulson, 571.970.3317

Sensei Enterprises Inc, John Simek, 703.359.0700

HomePro Service Inspectors, 1.800.HOMEPRO
Superior Pest Management, 1.866.404.1921

Real Estate Web Sites

Long & Foster Realtors®

Washington Post

Realty Times

Realtor.com


Utilities

Dominion Virginia Power, 888-667-3000

NOVEC, 800-552-7945

PEPCO, 202-833-7500

Washington Gas, 800-752-7520

Verizon Telephone, 703-954-6222

Cox Communications, 703-378-8422

Comcast, 800-COMCAST

Fairfax County Water Authority, 703-698-5600

Loudoun County Water, 571-291-7700

For other water/sewer and trash removal information, contact your local county.


Local Schools

Alexandria City Public Schools, 703-824-6600

Arlington Country Public Schools, 703-228-6000

Fairfax County Public Schools, 571-423-1000

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Loudoun Country Public Schools, 571-252-1000

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Spotsylvania County Public Schools, 540-834-2500

Stafford County Public Schools, 540-658-6000

District of Columbia Public Schools, 202-727-1000

Anne Arundel County Public Schools, 410-222-5000

Charles County Public Schools, 301-932-6610

Frederick County Public Schools, 301-644-5000

Howard Country Public Schools, 410-313-6600

Montgomery County Public Schools, 301-309-6277

Prince George's County Public Schools, 301-952-6000


Transportation

Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority, 202-962-1234

Virginia Railway Express, (VRE), 800-RIDEVRE

Maryland Transit Administration (MARC), 866-RIDE-MTA

Fairfax Connector Bus, 703-339-7200

Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport, 703-417-8000

Washington Dulles International Airport, 703-572-2700

Baltimore/Washington International Airport, 800-IFLYBWI

Virginia Department of Motor Vehicles, 866-368-5463

Washington, DC Department of Motor Vehicles, 202-727-5000

Maryland Department of Motor Vehicles, 800-950-1682


Sports / Entertainment

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Merriweather Post Pavilion, 410-715-5560

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Patriot Center, 703-993-3000

Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts, 202-467-4600

Ford's Theatre, 202-347-4833

The National Theatre, 202-628-6161

The Shakespeare Theatre, 202-547-1122

For ticket information, visit Ticketmaster, 800-448-7849


Monuments / Museums

Arlington National Cemetery (Tomb of the Unknowns), 703-607-8000

Holocaust Memorial Museum, 202-488-0400

International Spy Museum, 866-779-6873

Jefferson Memorial, 202-426-6841

Korean War Veterans Memorial, 202-426-6841

Library of Congress, 202-707-5000

Lincoln Memorial, 202-426-6841

National Air & Space Museum, 202-633-1000

National Gallery of Art, 202-737-4215

National Museum of American History, 202-633-1000

National Museum of Natural History, 202-633-1000

U.S. Capitol, 202-225-6827

Vietnam Veterans Memorial, 202-426-6841

Washington Monument, 202-426-6841

Washington National Cathedral, 202-537-6200

White House Visitor Center, 202-208-1631


Newspapers

Washington Post, 202-334-6100

Washington Times, 202-636-3333

USA Today, 800-USA-0001

Times Community Newspapers, 703-437-5400

The Examiner, 703-560-4000

 
Upcoming NOVA Summer Events
Written by Janet Amendola, Cook and Zook Team   
Tuesday, 15 June 2010 11:30
 


The official start of summer is fast approaching! With so many things to do in Northern Virginia, it is a great time to take advantage of all that Nova has to offer and enjoy some fun in the sun! Below is a ‘high light’ list of just a few of the many events going on in Northern Virginia throughout the summer! Put them on your calendar – each event is sure to be a great time, so don’t miss out! 

Taste of Reston - Reston Town Center 11900 Market Street, Reston, VA 20190 Friday, June 18, 2010 12:00 PM – 10:00 PM Saturday, June 19, 2010 12:00 PM – 10:00 PM 
Northern Virginia's largest outdoor food festival features two days of delectable fare from the region's finest eateries, live music in the Pavilion, a beer and wine garden, and activities and games at Kids Korner. Admission and parking are free, "taste" tickets sold separately at $1 each. Presented by the Greater Reston Chamber of Commerce. For more information, please call 703.707.9045 or visit www.restontaste.com.

13th Annual Cajun Festival - Breaux Vineyards 36888 Breaux Vineyards Lane Purcellville, VA 20132 Saturday, June 19, 2010 11:00 AM-6:00 PM 
Be prepared to boogie the day away with Live Zydeco & Cajun music by the Dixie Power Trio and Little Red & The Renegades. We'll show you how to "Laissez les bon temps roulez!". Cajun cuisine will be for sale including Jambalaya, Muffaletta, Gumbo, Cajun spiced chicken, BBQ & more! Of course, if available, we will have hundreds of pounds of steaming fresh crawfish flown in straight from Louisiana for you to savor with a cold bottle of wine! If they are not lookin' good in the bayou, we will boil shrimp instead, Chere! We will have children's activities including Clowns, balloon art, face painting and vineyard hayrides will run every hour! Admission Fee: $15.00/$10.00. Admission includes: Wine Tasting, Souvenir Glass, Hayrides & Entertainment. Children 5 and under - free. 

3rd Annual Summer Brewfest Movern Park - Leesburg, Virginia Saturday, June 26, 2010 11:00 AM - 9:00 PM Sunday, June 27, 2010 11:00 AM - 7:00 PM 
This Celebration of American Beer features over 50 of America’s best breweries, a variety of food to complement the craft beers and great local and regional bands to entertain you. Please note that beer sampling ends one hour prior to the close of the festival. This festival is held at Movern Park in Leesburg, Virginia, just north of Leesburg on Route 15 at Tutt Lane. The exact address is 41793 Tutt Lane, Leesburg, VA, 20176. Admission tickets for the BrewFest purchased on the day of the event will be $25 for an Adult admission (must be 21 years of age or older) and $20 for a designated driver ticket. Admission tickets are also available prior to the opening of the event online. Advance purchase tickets are $20 for an Adult ticket and $15 for a designated driver ticket. 

Independence Day Celebration Herndon Community Center - Bready Park 814 Ferndale Ave. Herndon, VA 20170 Sunday, July 04, 2010 6:30 PM-10:00 PM 
Join the Town of Herndon for a great family-fun event featuring a community-wide kick-ball game, small rides, bounce houses, arts & crafts activities, bingo and more. There are some fees associated with the rides. Festive food, ranging from Hot Dogs and Hamburgers to Funnel Cakes and Cotton Candy will be on sale! The fabulous fireworks show starts at 9:30 PM.
 
Independence Day Celebration - Ida Lee Park 60 Ida Lee Drive, N.W. Leesburg, VA 20176 Sunday, July 04, 2010 10:00 AM-10:00 PM
The Town of Leesburg’s Independence Day Celebration will be a day full of festivities beginning with the patriotic July 4th parade. The parade begins at Ida Lee Park and travels down King Street to Catoctin Circle. Evening events and festivities will be the highlight of the day at Ida Lee Park. With gates opening at 6:00 pm, the public is invited to continue their day of celebration while listening to the live band play music under the evening sky. Food vendors will be on hand. End your day of celebration with the grand finale - fireworks over the park! 

Loudoun County Fair – Loudoun County Fairgrounds 17558 Dry Mill Road, Leesburg, VA 20175 Monday, July 26, 2010 - Saturday, July 31, 2010 9:00 AM-9:00 PM 
Experience a true country fair featuring 4-H animals, crafts, carnival rides, entertainment, food, livestock auctions, professional bull riding, mini demolition derby, children's activities, educational demonstrations, a pet show, kiss-a-pig contest, and much more!

The Friendship Firehouse Festival – Alexandria, Virginia 107 South Alfred Street Alexandria, VA 22314 Saturday, August 07, 2010 9:00 AM-2:00 PM 
The Friendship Firehouse Festival celebrates the 236th anniversary of the Friendship Fire Company, founded in 1774. Enjoy birthday cake, craft and food vendors, and a special display of antique and modern firefighting equipment. Fun for kids of all ages! 

20th Annual Manassas African-American Heritage Festival Grace E. Metz Middle School 9950 Wellington Rd Manassas, VA 20110 Saturday, August 07, 2010 12:00 PM-6:00 PM
The 20th Annual Manassas African-American Heritage Festival is an event that caters to children and adults alike that includes regional and local entertainment, food vendors, retail vendors, an antique car show, fashion/hair show, and local community service groups. This is a time of fellowship with family and friends within the local community and gives businesses a chance to network. Please come out and enjoy a day of fun in the sun in Manassas. 

Alexandria Annual Irish Festival - Waterfront Park 1A Prince Street Alexandria, VA 22153 Saturday, August 14, 2010 11:30 AM-7:00 PM 
The Alexandria annual Irish Festival held at Waterfront Park is a don’t miss. Enjoy continuous live entertainment, Irish dancers, pipes, drums, Irish singers, arts and crafts, food & cold refreshments. No coolers, but deck/lawn chairs are allowed. Children and pets welcome. 

Arlington County Fair - Thomas Jefferson Community Center 3501 South Second Street Arlington, VA 22204 Wednesday, August 18, 2010 - Sunday, August 22, 2010 
The Arlington County Fair features Carnival Rides, Amusements, Competitive Exhibits, Arts and Crafts, Great Food from Many Countries, Live Entertainment, Pony Rides and a Petting Zoo. Fair goers will also find the eye-catching, creative efforts of hundreds of Arlingtonians and more.

Along with the events highlighted here, you can find something going on almost every day of the summer at the following websites! Enjoy! 
 
2010 - 1st Quarter Trends in the Local Housing Market
Written by Cook and Zook Team   
Thursday, 15 April 2010 00:00
The Washington area housing market is in the early phases of the recovery cycle:
  • Prices continue to show signs of a moderate recovery: 1st quarter prices in the metro are up from the same quarter in 2009, with the Outer jurisdictions (Loudoun, Prince William and Frederick Counties) outperforming the Core and Inner jurisdictions. Prices will likely gain traction throughout 2010, as buyer and seller expectations continue to move closer to a balance, facilitating an increase in transaction volume. This is the second consecutive quarter prices have risen on a trailing 12-month basis, representing the first increases seen since the 4th quarter of 2007.
  • Days on market continue to decline compared to both last quarter and a year ago. Properties in the Outer jurisdictions have experienced the sharpest decline, but across the region, time on market is very close to or below the region’s long-term average.
  • The ratio of inventory to sales continues to decline in most jurisdictions from one year ago. The metro-wide ratio of 5.7 months’ worth of listings is below the normal, healthy standard of 6 months, signaling that demand is beginning to outpace supply.
  • The gap between buyer and seller demands is closing with the average sales price in the 1st quarter of 2010 at 93.8% of list price, the highest ratio in more than two years.
Source: www.nvar.com/marketstatistics/quarterlytrends
Click Here for a more in-depth look at the Metropolitan Regional Information Systems "Trends in Housing" Report

In additional to local real estate, the National Association of Realtors releases statistics on state-by-state existing-home sales and metropolitan area median home prices each quarter.  The state existing-home sales report includes single-family houses, condos and co-ops.  The price report reflects sales prices of existing single-family homes by metropolitan statistical area (MSA).  Beginning on February 15, 2005, this quarterly report includes a breakdown of condo and co-op prices by metro market.

1st Quarter 2010 Existing Home Sales by State
1st Quarter 2010 Single-Family Metropolitan Area Home Sales
1st Quarter 2010 Condo/Co-op Metropolitan Area Home Sales

Related Article: Home Prices Rising in More Metro Areas, First Quarter Sales Up From a Year Ago
 
Homeownership: It’s About Value, Freedom, and Mowing
Written by Brian Cook, Cook and Zook Team   
Thursday, 09 September 2010 07:58

Homeownership has taken a justifiable beating lately. Housing prices have tumbled and sales are still declining. Markets are glutted with foreclosures from people who borrowed too much or lost a job and were unable to sell. And while your friendly Realtor will happily tell you about the opportunities this strife creates, buying a home for its appreciation possibilities is still an iffy venture, especially if you can’t or won’t give the market time to find its long-term footing.


But if you are looking for a place to live a while—and not a property to flip—buying remains the option that gives you both value and, yes, freedom.

Let’s strip away the big picture for a moment. It’s trendy to blame homeownership for the financial mess we’re in, but that’s like saying that eating leads to obesity. It’s not the act that causes the problem. It’s how poorly you do it—and banks and borrowers engaged in loans they shouldn’t have.


But for most of us, owning a home still makes financial sense. Lost in the pop of the housing bubble is some simple math: If you rent, you write a check and never see that money again. If you buy, and you’re prudent and patient about it, you probably will.


It’s called equity. If you’re paying $1,000 a month in mortgage on a standard 30-year fixed rate loan at, say, 5 percent interest—then $2,700 of those payments goes toward the principal of the loan in the first year. That means if you sell the home, you have to pay the bank $2,700 less than the amount you borrowed. The next year you’ll add $2,900 more to that total, and that annual number will go up each year. Plus, the interest you pay is often tax deductible.


If you rent, not only do you get less value by often paying more per square foot than homeowners, that hypothetical $1,000 each month is gone.

And for those renters who point to the supplementary expenses that come with homeownership, such as property taxes and insurance? If you believe your landlord isn’t passing those expenses on to you, then you probably think the car dealer really did throw in those floor mats for free.


Same thing for those household repair costs renters think they’re avoiding. Not only will you eventually pay in rent for the air conditioner that broke in your apartment, you’re also probably paying for part of the unit that died in one of your landlord’s other properties.


But beyond the repairs you have to do, the value of homeownership comes from the changes you want to make. If your carpet is worn or merely ugly, you don’t need permission to improve the place you live. You don’t have to split the cost for something that’ll raise the value of someone else’s property. You don’t have to worry that the landlord might subsequently cut corners with inferior workers or materials.


If you’re a tinkerer, you might be able to do some of these things yourself, which not only will improve your home’s value but make it a more personal investment. Owning a home, however, does not bring a lifetime sentence of fix-it-ups. If, like me, you’re not such a handyman, you can mow your lawn and call it a weekend. It’s your choice.

And choice is what homeownership brings. You can choose a neighborhood or street where you can put down roots without having to worry about a landlord selling your place or booting you out. You can choose a comfortable monthly payment without worrying that it’ll be bumped up in a year, and then maybe again the next year.


*taken from http://www.houselogic.com/news/articles/Homeownership-its-about-value-freedom-and-mowing/


 
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